$1B Funds Require Outcomes That Are Rarer Than You Think
Funds over $1 billion took nearly three quarters of US venture dollars this year, all chasing outcomes only about a dozen companies have reached in 25 years.
Funds over $1 billion took nearly three quarters of US venture dollars this year, all chasing outcomes only about a dozen companies have reached in 25 years.
My own colleagues ask me this all the time. So I went through my whole portfolio, more than 75 companies over a dozen-plus years, and looked as hard as I could.
The world holds more randomness than we admit. Default Yes to showing up.
Strategy matters, but it can become a substitute for the unglamorous work of finding the next great company.
The feedback used to hit immediately and I carried it home every night. As a VC I can be wrong for a decade before I find out.
We’re trained to source, evaluate, and back, but not how to make a one-way valuation call on a private company with the window closing.