This Month I’ve Been a VC Exactly as Long as I Was an Operator
The feedback used to hit immediately and I carried it home every night. As a VC I can be wrong for a decade before I find out.
The feedback used to hit immediately and I carried it home every night. As a VC I can be wrong for a decade before I find out.
We’re trained to source, evaluate, and back, but not how to make a one-way valuation call on a private company with the window closing.
In hedge funds, your performance is marked daily. In venture? It’s much murkier.
The same stats could describe radically different companies now, so the labels tell you almost nothing about the risk profile.
Raising lean assumes you can predict what the next round rewards. Lately, that’s gotten very hard to call.
It works like a venture portfolio. Make enough careful bets, and the odds compound in your favor over time.